2007'02.11.Sun
China's Businesses are the Most Optimistic in the World for Investment in 2007
January 09, 2007
HONG KONG, Jan. 9 /Xinhua-PRNewswire / -- The initial
findings from the Experian(R) Grant Thornton International
Business Report (IBR) 2007 show that business owners in
China lead the world in business expectations towards
investment in new buildings, plant & machinery, with an
optimism/pessimism percentage (*see note below) of +75% for
both questions (up from +58% and +53% respectively last
year).
Table 1
Investment in new buildings (Optimism/pessimism %*)
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 Mainland China +75
2 India +58
3 Armenia +57
4 Brazil +43
5 Malaysia +39
6 Philippines +38
12 Russia +31
18 US +28
19 Hong Kong +27
24 Thailand +22
25 UK +22
27 Japan +18
31 Taiwan +13
32 Singapore +9
East Asia average +53
Global average +36
Table 2
Investment in plant & machinery (Optimism/pessimism
%*)
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 Mainland China +75
2 Armenia +74
3 Poland +72
5 Russia +64
6 India +63
13 Brazil +52
16 Malaysia +44
20 Philippines +42
22 US +40
23 Hong Kong +38
24 UK +38
29 Japan +26
30 Singapore +23
31 Taiwan +19
32 Thailand +9
East Asia average +55
Global average +49
Source: Experian Grant Thornton International Business
Report (IBR) 2007
"With China's strong economic growth, we can say
that exuberance of business owners is somewhat expected,
especially in view of their strong confidence revealed in
last year's survey. Nonetheless, it is positive to see
that businesses on the mainland are so upbeat about
investments in new buildings and plant & machinery,
which demonstrates their vision for the future and their
determination to strengthen competitiveness in order to
cope with the keen competition in the global market,"
said Desmond Yuen, Partner and Head of China Services at
Grant Thornton.
In fact China's businesses show strong confidence in
most of the surveyed aspects of business. Businesses in
mainland China are also very optimistic about turnover
(+85%) and profitability (+78%), taking the 2nd most
optimistic place in these two aspects, after India.
As for prospects for the local economy in 2007, China's
business owners are also buoyant. Mainland China continues
to be the driver of global business confidence, taking
third position in the survey with an optimism/pessimism
percentage* of +85% (up from +79% last year). Only two out
of the 32 countries/regions surveyed -- India and the
Philippines are more optimistic.
"From an international perspective, Asia continues
to be the driver of global business confidence, as a result
of its very strong economic performance, especially in
Mainland China and India. The two largest countries in the
world continue to grow at near double digit strength which
is providing unprecedented opportunities for business
owners, not only in their own country but also in terms of
global expansion. 2006 saw considerable growth in their
international business activities, acquiring significant
businesses in the west. Also, it is the first time in the
past few years that the region has not been impacted by
health scares or natural disasters," commented Dr
Tapan Datta, Experian's global economist.
Countries in Asia take the top four positions in the
survey headed by India, with mainland China in third place
(see appendix 2). In East Asia, the Philippines is the
second most optimistic about the economy (from +71% in 2006
to +88% in 2007), and has grown faster than mainland China.
With the corruption cases of President families and other
political instabilities, Taiwan continues to have a
negative confidence level this year. Japan has slipped to
the bottom of the table although its confidence level has
improved from -14% to -5%.
Confidence levels of business owners in the US continue
to drop from 32% to 14%. In the past year, the US has faced
a period of slowing economic growth and political
instability. Issues from the change in control of the
Senate to the growing backlash against the Iraq war appear
to be leading to a more cautious outlook for business in
2007.
When looking at the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia,
India and mainland China), figures show that the
expectations of these countries are quite positive in some
aspects, which make them ranked among the top ten on the
worldwide table. The results draw the world's attention to
these emerging countries.
Appendix 1 -- Business Expectations (Optimism/pessimism
%*)
Turnover
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 India 90
2 Mainland China 85
3 Armenia 83
6 Singapore 79
7 Malaysia 77
9 Russia 76
10 Philippines 75
11 Brazil 74
18 Hong Kong 66
22 Thailand 61
31 Japan 31
32 Taiwan 31
East Asia average 67
Global average 69
Profitability
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 India 83
2 Mainland China 78
3 Brazil 68
5 Philippines 65
6 Thailand 65
7 Singapore 64
11 Hong Kong 59
12 Malaysia 58
19 Russia 50
30 Taiwan 6
32 Japan 2
East Asia average 53
Global average 52
Exports
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 Hong Kong 40
2 Malaysia 33
3 Greece 31
6 Mainland China 29
7 Singapore 29
13 India 22
16 Philippines 21
26 Taiwan 15
28 Brazil 12
29 Russia 9
31 Thailand 7
32 Japan 4
East Asia average 21
Global average 2
Selling Price
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 Botswana 71
2 India 68
3 Russia 60
5 Philippines 56
11 Malaysia 42
15 Thailand 37
17 Brazil 35
23 Hong Kong 30
25 Mainland China 29
27 Singapore 28
31 Taiwan 10
32 Japan -6
East Asia average 20
Global average 31
Employment
Global ranking Countries/regions % balance
1 India 80
2 Philippines 70
3 Armenia 67
4 Mainland China 66
5 Brazil 54
6 Russia 53
12 Hong Kong 44
13 Thailand 43
15 Malaysia 41
19 Singapore 38
28 Japan 18
30 Taiwan 17
East Asia average 49
Global average 45
Source: Experian Grant Thornton International Business
Report (IBR) 2007
Appendix 2 -- Global business owners' confidence in
local economy for 2007
Business Owner Confidence (Optimism/pessimism %*)
# 2007 2006 2005
1 India 97 93 88
2 Philippines 88 71 50
3 Mainland China 85 79 --
4 Singapore 84 64 62
5 Ireland 82 84 79
6 Netherlands 81 63 31
7 South Africa 74 80 84
8 Hong Kong 69 61 60
9 Sweden 67 51 52
10 Argentina 66 62 --
11 Germany 66 41 17
12 Mexico 62 68 47
13 Australia 61 64 78
14 Canada 60 57 72
15 Russia 57 21 14
16 Armenia 57 -- --
17 Luxembourg 49 7 --
18 Brazil 47 -- --
19 Spain 43 14 9
20 UK 43 8 46
21 Poland 42 26 21
22 New Zealand 42 23 64
23 Botswana 41 -12 --
24 Malaysia 38 36 --
25 Thailand 30 9 --
26 France 30 1 19
27 Greece 27 1 29
28 Italy 21 -8 7
29 US 14 32 62
30 Turkey 0 58 49
31 Taiwan -3 -19 14
32 Japan -5 -18 -27
Global average 45 39 41
Source: Experian Grant Thornton International Business
Report (IBR) 2007
*Notes: The figure is the percentage balance of the
respondents who are optimistic less those who
are
pessimistic. The highest possible figure
countries are able to record is +100% and the
lowest is -100%.
Notes to editors
About the Experian Grant Thornton International
Business Report (IBR) Entering its 5th year, the Experian
Grant Thornton International Business Report (IBR) was
carried out among 7,200 owners of medium to large privately
held businesses from 32 countries/territories during late
2006. Among them, 300, 250 and 150 medium to large
privately held businesses were surveyed in mainland China,
Hong Kong and Taiwan respectively. IBR began in 2002 and
builds on the European Business Survey (EBS) which Grant
Thornton ran from 1993 to 2001. In 2007, the survey's name
was changed from the International Business Owners Survey
(IBOS) to the International Business Report (IBR). The
research was conducted by Experian Business Strategies
Limited and Harris Interactive. For more information,
please visit http://www.internationalbusinessreport.com .
About Grant Thornton
Grant Thornton is one of the leading accounting, tax,
and business advisory firms dedicated to serving the needs
of entrepreneurial and owner managed companies. In Hong
Kong and mainland China, Grant Thornton has offices in Hong
Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, employing
in excess of 650 people. Grant Thornton in Hong Kong is a
member of Grant Thornton International - one of the world's
leading organisations of independently owned and managed
accounting and consulting firms providing assurance, tax
and specialist advice to independent businesses and their
owners. Firms operate in 110 countries in 520 offices with
more than 22,600 employees. For more information, please
visit http://www.gthk.com.hk .
About Experian
Experian provides an unrivalled understanding of
consumers, markets and economies in the UK and around the
world, past, present and future. The business is a market
leader in consumer profiling and market segmentation,
economic forecasting and public policy research, supporting
businesses, policy makers and investors in making tactical
and strategic decisions. Experian's economic forecasting
arm, Business Strategies, has operations in sixteen
countries: UK, France, Netherlands, Spain, Norway, Sweden,
Finland and Hong Kong - China, Germany, Czech Republic,
Ireland, Greece, USA, Japan, Australia and New Zealand.
For more information about Experian go to
http://www.experian.com.hk/ebs/ .
For more information, please contact:
Grant Thornton
Desmond Yuen (Partner and Head of China Services)
Tel: +852-2218-3113
Fax: +852-2218-3613
Email: desmond.yuen@gthk.com.hk
Estella Tsui (Marketing Manager)
Tel: +852-2218-3207
Fax: +852-2218-3707
Email: estella.tsui@gthk.com.hk
Experian
Dr Tapan Datta (Global Economist)
Tel: +44-207-355-8234
Email: tapan.datta@uk.experian.com
Bruno Rost (PR Manager)
Tel: +44-115-968-5009
Email: bruno.rost@uk.experian.com
SOURCE Grant Thornton
PR
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